@article{oai:kyotogakuen.repo.nii.ac.jp:00000912, author = {尾崎, タイヨ and Taiyo, Ozaki}, issue = {2}, month = {2010-03-01, 2018-05-28}, note = {The research is aimed at testing the properties of the Asian LinkModel which has been developed since 2006, in which we deal with the model of Japan, the US, China and Korea and the bi-lateral trade linkage model. This model has expanded the conventional econometricmodel in several directions.One is to do farther investigation of changing bi-lateral trade patterns inmore flexible formamong those four countries. The second point is to use forward looking variables to evaluate the anticipated expectations to the new policy. The third is to add an energy model to simulate the future changes in theAsian economywith energy constraints. In this version, we mainly present the structures of the model and the simulation results of the stimulus packages which are just carried in the world. For example, the government investment by 1% of real GDP will lead the increase close to 1.3% in real GDP in theUS economy, and so forth.As to the appreciation of RMB +10%, itwill reduce the real GDP by 3~5%. It is also notable that Chinese slowdown in exports leads the reduction in Korean exports simultaneously., 2, KJ00006343479, 論文, Article}, pages = {57--113}, title = {Simulation Analysis Based on the East Asian Macroeconometric Model : China-Japan-US-Korea 4-Country Model}, volume = {19}, year = {}, yomi = {オザキ, タイヨ} }